Tonight at Noche UFC, No. 2 Diego Lopes is facing No. 10 Jean Silva in the Main Event. Lopes is coming off a loss to Alexander Volkanovski, while Silva recently finished Bryce Mitchell. Rob Font battles David Martinez in a 135-pound bout in the co-main event.
Jean Silva has been one of the most entertaining fighters in the UFC since entering the promotion in 2024. Since then, Silva has gone 5-0 with five finishes. On DraftKings Sportsbookopens in a new tab, Silva is a -238 favorite while Diego Lopes is a +195 underdog. In this matchup, Silva is the better striker, and it is unlikely that Lopes will be able to handle the pressure and pace that Silva brings. Lopes has won 15 of his 16 bouts by knockout or submission, making it best to get him at -120 to pick up the finish. Perennial top 15 Bantamweight contender, Rob Font, is attempting to increase his win streak to three when he takes on David Martinez. Font is an 11-year UFC veteran and has 18 more fights in the UFC than Martinez. Font is a -120 favorite with Martinez being a +100 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook.opens in a new tab Font has a three-inch advantage in height (5’8″ vs. 5’5″) and standing reach (71″ vs. 67″), which should allow him to get the best of Martinez on the feet.
Silva has the venom to really make those punches sting. He’s utterly unafraid of a one-to-one exchange, fully confident that his power, chin, and composure will win that trade every time. He’s been right so far, even in his Lightweight brawl versus the durable and hard-hitting Drew Dober. Despite bullying his opponents with raw athleticism, there’s definitely craft and skill to Silva’s game as well — he’s no one-trick pony. To best take advantage of this flaw, Silva has to be light on his feet, ready to withdraw. A little patience will go a long way in convincing Lopes to reach for him, and he should be bouncing forward with quick shots in the hopes of a touch, pull, return sequence. At any point, Silva can plant his feet and trade with Lopes, but forcing his opponent to first walk through fire will only make his life easier.
Lopes is clearly the most dangerous and most well-rounded fighter Silva has ever faced, and he deserves respect for beating a much better class of opposition. At the same time, I don’t like the style match up for him. It reminds me of his Contenders Series loss to Joanderson Brito in that his game has no real solution to a superior kickboxer who can match his athleticism and deny his takedowns. Realistically, Lopes needs to a knock down or knockout to win. He certainly hits hard, and Silva is not afraid to take chances himself. However, it feels more likely that Lopes ends up on the wrong side of some powerful shots early on and settles into a punishing defeat.